0x1c4c6a698f0591ddf0c96e1beb56f8c75112ef849331bf3b0388f14830a7421d
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?” trades at 57% YES on Polymarket with $504.3k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 57.5% · CLOB volume $504.3k · whales 24h net $19.3k (95 wallets) · 7d net $106.9k · 3/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
57.5%
Yes
Implied No
42.5%
No
Volume
$504.3k
CLOB
Traders
372
2,765 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
64.0% → 59.7% (-4.3pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$19.3k
Buy
$46.7k
Sell
$27.5k
Whales
95
Last 7 days
Net flow
$106.9k
Buy
$209.5k
Sell
$102.7k
Whales
178
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc851…cd2a | $50.0k | $30.5k | $19.5k | $-11.0k |
| 0x35bb…009b | $38.2k | $23.3k | $14.9k | $-8.5k |
| 0x0845…6b6f | $34.9k | $22.4k | $12.5k | $-9.9k |
| 0xcb4c…6d64 | $24.6k | $23.7k | $891 | $-22.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xeb49…693e | 894 | $786.3k | $-264.2k | 6 |
| 0x7f9e…3a0e | 496 | $725.3k | $-142.2k | 6 |
| 0x88c4…129a | 369 | $396.5k | $-135.0k | 6 |
| 0x2d99…4ca3 | 194 | $393.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
3 open · 10 total · Event board
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
closed · $3.33M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
closed · $3.39M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
closed · $2.96M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
closed · $2.53M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
closed · $2.65M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
closed · $953.3k
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
closed · $2.36M
100.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
open · $1.79M
82.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
open · $521.2k
72.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
open · $504.3k
57.5%
| 0xc3db…0f98 | $23.3k | $12.9k | $10.4k | $-2.5k |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $21.4k | $21.4k | $0 | $-21.4k |
| 0x401e…6fc9 | $20.6k | $15.0k | $5.6k | $-9.4k |
| 0xe234…304a | $19.7k | $12.2k | $7.5k | $-4.6k |
| 0xc390…2a1f | $18.6k | $6.4k | $12.2k | $5.8k |
| 0x162f…798d | $18.3k | $14.4k | $4.0k | $-10.4k |
| 0x0577…081f | $17.1k | $5.0k | $12.1k | $7.1k |
| 0x3007…763a | $16.7k | $9.7k | $6.9k | $-2.8k |
| $-289.4k |
| 3 |
| 0x5297…7b99 | 1,673 | $368.6k | $-293.5k | 6 |
| 0xe234…304a | 704 | $344.6k | $-75.5k | 8 |
| 0xe3cb…ac21 | 201 | $332.9k | $-255.6k | 5 |
| 0x9592…a7b8 | 908 | $302.9k | $-20.0k | 7 |
| 0x7c5b…26e2 | 392 | $296.7k | $-44.7k | 5 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 803 | $296.1k | $-294.0k | 8 |
