Home/Market/0x7a611b…881376

Iran leadership change by...?Active 82 days left

Iran leadership change by November 30?

0x7a611b2ae4e3b871580dececcf7cf126eead47fe58ebea15b1865a7c8a881376

As of Sep 10, 2026, “Iran leadership change by November 30?” trades at 9% YES on Polymarket with $43.4k total volume.

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 9.0% · CLOB volume $43.4k · whales 24h net $1.2k (27 wallets) · 7d net $3.6k · 5/12 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

9.0%

Yes

Implied No

91.0%

Volume

$43.4k

CLOB

Traders

125

700 trades

Yes 9.0%No 91.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

9.0% → 8.0% (-1.0pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$1.2k

Buy

$7.4k

Sell

$6.2k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$3.6k

Buy

$10.3k

Sell

$6.7k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($1.2k)
•7d whale net still positive ($3.6k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 9.0% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($43.4k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-09-10 16:05:03

92.0¢$1

YESBUY2026-09-10 16:05:03

8.0¢$0

NOBUY2026-09-10 16:05:01

92.0¢$46

YESBUY2026-09-10 16:05:01

8.0¢$2

YESBUY2026-09-10 16:05:01

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xa8c6…44e8	$7.9k	$5.5k	$2.4k	$-3.2k
0x05f6…25a1	$6.2k	$544	$5.7k	$5.1k
0x5cd5…ac33	$5.3k	$4.3k	$1.0k	$-3.3k
0x25db…28de	$3.8k	$3.4k	$407	$-3.0k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xd5c1…5280	197	$1.32M	$-148.3k	2
0xebd3…446d	109	$786.6k	$-279.6k	2
0x753b…9f35	83	$393.8k	$-6.1k	1
0xb100…6461	341	$228.1k

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.

Convert these odds Explore traders Whale feed API