0x377e7fe65cf198a7fc4fdae3f2136b74729279267858daaf96718b23bc2a5607
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Iran leadership change by December 31?” trades at 14% YES on Polymarket with $4.44M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 13.5% · CLOB volume $4.44M · whales 24h net $6.1k (29 wallets) · 7d net $72.4k · 5/12 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
13.5%
Yes
Implied No
86.5%
No
Volume
$4.44M
CLOB
Traders
4,011
40,544 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
13.0% → 14.0% (+1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$6.1k
Buy
$11.5k
Sell
$5.3k
Whales
29
Last 7 days
Net flow
$72.4k
Buy
$128.9k
Sell
$56.5k
Whales
149
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe258…d084 | $154.1k | $79.3k | $74.8k | $-4.4k |
| 0xb100…6461 | $101.5k | $60.8k | $40.7k | $-20.0k |
| 0x614d…1546 | $86.3k | $72.0k | $14.3k | $-57.7k |
| 0xfb51…742d | $75.7k | $58.4k | $17.3k | $-41.1k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd5c1…5280 | 197 | $1.32M | $-148.3k | 2 |
| 0xebd3…446d | 109 | $786.6k | $-279.6k | 2 |
| 0x753b…9f35 | 83 | $393.8k | $-6.1k | 1 |
| 0xb100…6461 | 342 | $228.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 12 total · Event board
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
open · $290.7k
27.5%
Iran leadership change by December 31?
open · $4.44M
13.5%
Iran leadership change by November 30?
open · $43.4k
9.0%
Iran leadership change by October 31?
open · $81.8k
6.5%
Iran leadership change by September 30?
open · $1.04M
2.3%
Iran leadership change by June 30?
closed · $4.39M
0.0%
Iran leadership change by March 31?
closed · $3.23M
0.0%
Iran leadership change by May 31?
closed · $3.41M
0.0%
Iran leadership change by August 31?
closed · $1.60M
0.0%
Iran leadership change by July 31?
closed · $1.55M
0.0%
Iran leadership change by August 22?
closed · $79.5k
0.0%
Iran leadership change by March 13?
closed · $3.58M
0.0%
| 0xcc03…d5c0 | $71.5k | $43.5k | $28.0k | $-15.5k |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $55.7k | $50.7k | $5.0k | $-45.6k |
| 0x45a2…3c01 | $54.8k | $22.0k | $32.8k | $10.9k |
| 0x8afa…adb6 | $51.1k | $47.3k | $3.8k | $-43.5k |
| 0x67d6…245e | $46.6k | $23.5k | $23.1k | $-374 |
| 0x6d9f…9790 | $44.7k | $24.7k | $20.0k | $-4.7k |
| 0xd600…b66e | $40.2k | $32.2k | $8.0k | $-24.2k |
| 0xbaa2…2c73 | $39.9k | $38.0k | $1.9k | $-36.1k |
| $-102.6k |
| 5 |
| 0x97cb…c910 | 374 | $210.3k | $33.8k | 7 |
| 0x122c…fbed | 785 | $184.5k | $8.4k | 5 |
| 0xe258…d084 | 185 | $166.0k | $-8.5k | 2 |
| 0x5715…1616 | 204 | $154.4k | $-9.6k | 3 |
| 0xfb51…742d | 142 | $150.4k | $-43.3k | 3 |
| 0x8afa…adb6 | 515 | $141.3k | $-123.4k | 5 |
