Iran leadership change by August 31?

0x43e12647a58ee0b20d2539d23764b0d561ea7be322acb8823f7bb126e67c115e

As of Oct 8, 2026, “Iran leadership change by August 31?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $1.60M total volume.

Resolved market

Market closed / resolved · winner No · final Yes 0.0% · CLOB volume $1.60M · 4/12 related markets still open.

Implied Yes

0.0%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$1.60M

CLOB

Traders

601

3,850 trades

Yes 0.0%No 100.0%

Settled market price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Resolved — winner No
•Final Yes 0.0%

Bear case

•No new risk — book not accepting orders
•Use for historical tape / whale context only

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-31 22:12:16

99.9¢$102

NOBUY2026-08-31 22:12:16

100.1¢$14

NOBUY2026-08-31 22:12:16

100.1¢$7

NOBUY2026-08-31 22:12:16

100.1¢$5

NOBUY2026-08-31 22:12:16

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x10af…de20	$40.5k	$190	$40.4k	$40.2k
0xadc2…d1c9	$35.8k	$33.8k	$1.9k	$-31.9k
0x410a…2643	$12.6k	$8.0k	$4.6k	$-3.3k
0x8afa…adb6	$12.3k	$12.2k	$100	$-12.1k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xd5c1…5280	92	$807.3k	$-121.9k	1
0xebd3…446d	69	$741.0k	$-201.5k	1
0x8afa…adb6	1,009	$565.5k	$-370.2k	5
0x12d6…f2a8	428	$198.4k

Dig deeper with Polydata

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