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Iran leadership change by...?Active 29 days left

Iran leadership change by August 31?

0x43e12647a58ee0b20d2539d23764b0d561ea7be322acb8823f7bb126e67c115e

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 4.3% · CLOB volume $545.9k · whales 24h net $101.1k (92 wallets) · 7d net $195.3k · 4/9 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

4.3%

Yes

Implied No

95.8%

Volume

$545.9k

CLOB

Traders

175

774 trades

Yes 4.3%No 95.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$101.1k

Buy

$174.4k

Sell

$73.3k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$195.3k

Buy

$358.1k

Sell

$162.8k

Whales

123

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($101.1k)
•7d whale net still positive ($195.3k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 4.3% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-02 00:23:39

2381.0¢$18

YESBUY2026-08-02 00:23:39

4.2¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-02 00:23:23

2381.0¢$31

YESBUY2026-08-02 00:23:23

4.2¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-02 00:21:45

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x753b…9f35	$390.7k	$196.8k	$193.9k	$-3.0k
0xd5c1…5280	$364.3k	$239.6k	$124.7k	$-115.0k
0x122c…fbed	$56.3k	$27.1k	$29.3k	$2.2k
0x97cb…c910	$34.3k	$21.7k	$12.6k	$-9.1k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xdb35…b137	482	$903.6k	$299.4k	1
0xd5c1…5280	73	$476.3k	$-77.9k	2
0x753b…9f35	89	$470.4k	$-82.7k	2
0xb076…07d3	215	$349.2k

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