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Iran leadership change by...?Active 294 days left

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

0xe802435286a79c0086810443a824d596619a6f34f901c112f0b70e4e140d6165

As of Sep 10, 2026, “Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?” trades at 28% YES on Polymarket with $290.7k total volume.

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 27.5% · CLOB volume $290.7k · whales 24h net $110 (8 wallets) · 7d net $27.4k · 5/12 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

27.5%

Yes

Implied No

72.5%

Volume

$290.7k

CLOB

Traders

405

3,179 trades

Yes 27.5%No 72.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$110

Buy

$241

Sell

$131

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$27.4k

Buy

$47.4k

Sell

$20.0k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($110)
•7d whale net still positive ($27.4k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 27.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

YESBUY2026-09-10 17:09:28

28.0¢$1

NOBUY2026-09-10 17:09:28

72.0¢$3

NOBUY2026-09-10 16:01:39

73.0¢$2

NOBUY2026-09-10 16:01:39

137.0¢$2

NOBUY2026-09-10 16:01:39

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xcc03…d5c0	$63.4k	$39.4k	$24.1k	$-15.3k
0xb100…6461	$22.4k	$18.4k	$3.9k	$-14.5k
0x122c…fbed	$15.9k	$9.6k	$6.3k	$-3.3k
0xe258…d084	$11.9k	$8.0k	$3.9k	$-4.1k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xd5c1…5280	197	$1.32M	$-148.3k	2
0xebd3…446d	109	$786.6k	$-279.6k	2
0x753b…9f35	83	$393.8k	$-6.1k	1
0xb100…6461	342	$228.3k

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