Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

0xe802435286a79c0086810443a824d596619a6f34f901c112f0b70e4e140d6165

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 33.5% · CLOB volume $85.9k · whales 24h net $525 (14 wallets) · 7d net $16.1k · 4/8 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

33.5%

Yes

Implied No

66.5%

Volume

$85.9k

CLOB

Traders

133

440 trades

Yes 33.5%No 66.5%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$525

Buy

$681

Sell

$156

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$16.1k

Buy

$25.8k

Sell

$9.6k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($525)
•7d whale net still positive ($16.1k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 33.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-21 13:49:52

151.5¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-21 13:49:52

66.0¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-21 13:09:54

151.5¢$4

NOBUY2026-07-21 13:09:54

66.0¢$3

YESBUY2026-07-21 13:09:54

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xdb35…b137	482	$903.6k	$299.4k	1
0xb076…07d3	215	$349.2k	$112.3k	1
0x1ecc…53a9	28	$123.9k	$9.8k	1
0xfb51…742d	144	$123.8k

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