Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0x8764d4aba85c6e80a4823850fe9ff2d4dc17081f3be0a50a856765d7b1cb1fe7

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.8% · CLOB volume $18.3k · whales 24h net $6.3k (19 wallets) · 7d net $6.3k · 42/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.8%

Yes

Implied No

99.3%

Volume

$18.3k

CLOB

Traders

37 trades

Yes 0.8%No 99.3%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$6.3k

Buy

$16.1k

Sell

$9.9k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$6.3k

Buy

$16.1k

Sell

$9.9k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($6.3k)
•7d whale net still positive ($6.3k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.8% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($18.3k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

37 shown

NOBUY2026-07-22 20:20:46

12500.0¢$1.6k

—BUY2026-07-22 20:20:46

0.8¢$13

NOBUY2026-07-22 20:20:45

14285.7¢$57

—BUY2026-07-22 20:20:45

0.7¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-22 20:12:07

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xa771…162d	66,194	$3.17M	$-3.17M	26
0xb687…aee5	7,620	$2.49M	$-2.38M	34
0xa3a4…5106	3,887	$1.32M	$-1.27M	35
0x2663…ed1f	9,645	$1.27M

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