0xf273da5c76e0116c0ec63787453b54d74f0c182256dff4ed2f27f08b14048f7c
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $767.3k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.6% · CLOB volume $767.3k · whales 24h net $17.1k (4 wallets) · 7d net $198.4k · 19/42 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.6%
Yes
Implied No
99.4%
No
Volume
$767.3k
CLOB
Traders
88
1,098 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.6% → 0.5% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$17.1k
Buy
$17.1k
Sell
$87
Whales
4
Last 7 days
Net flow
$198.4k
Buy
$228.9k
Sell
$30.5k
Whales
36
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $451.3k | $450.3k | $1.1k | $-449.2k |
| 0x316a…c449 | $153.0k | $783 | $152.3k | $151.5k |
| 0x2106…4dea | $127.9k | $127.9k | $0 | $-127.9k |
| 0x0ffc…8236 | $85.5k | $383 | $85.1k | $84.7k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 27,326 | $9.89M | $-9.60M | 42 |
| 0x2106…4dea | 7,418 | $2.51M | $-179.3k | 42 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 9,848 | $2.42M | $-2.42M | 26 |
| 0xb687…aee5 | 3,577 | $1.92M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
19 open · 42 total · Event board
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $3.38M
43.3%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.99M
17.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.95M
12.5%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.11M
12.4%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.27M
3.5%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.72M
3.0%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.64M
1.3%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.43M
1.1%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.08M
1.1%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.38M
1.0%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.75M
0.9%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.58M
0.9%
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $767.3k
0.6%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.86M
0.3%
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.99M
0.3%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $6.34M
0.1%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.60M
0.1%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $4.42M
0.1%
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.14M
0.1%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
closed · $6.43M
0.1%
| 0x5e73…6697 | $59.8k | $238 | $59.5k | $59.3k |
| 0xb687…aee5 | $53.5k | $53.5k | $0 | $-53.5k |
| 0x4366…c73e | $48.6k | $205 | $48.3k | $48.1k |
| 0x854d…deb0 | $39.6k | $240 | $39.4k | $39.1k |
| 0xee67…67a6 | $33.2k | $30.9k | $2.3k | $-28.6k |
| 0x40df…c9b5 | $23.9k | $191 | $23.7k | $23.5k |
| 0xbefa…300d | $22.2k | $22.2k | $0 | $-22.2k |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | $16.2k | $16.2k | $1 | $-16.2k |
| $-1.92M |
| 18 |
| 0x843e…d2f3 | 757 | $1.14M | $944.7k | 6 |
| 0x93fb…3e4a | 284 | $756.0k | $-475.0k | 2 |
| 0x5e41…3745 | 186 | $639.8k | $342.4k | 1 |
| 0x3659…0451 | 983 | $570.7k | $-568.8k | 29 |
| 0x8397…76c4 | 120 | $500.6k | $499.1k | 1 |
| 0x2252…17c3 | 412 | $497.4k | $418.1k | 5 |
