Multi-outcome · 10 open
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
open · $82.2k
98.5%
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open · $79.0k
97.7%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
open · $270.5k
96.0%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
open · $969.3k
87.5%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open · $489.6k
77.5%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open · $720.3k
63.5%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open · $366.9k
29.0%
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
open · $134.9k
12.8%
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
open · $165.7k
6.2%
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
open · $94.8k
5.3%
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