0x99bee2c9dd32672867497f42c3193360bf625e43842e83827c747070b65f364d
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?” trades at 13% YES on Polymarket with $134.9k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 12.8% · CLOB volume $134.9k · whales 24h net $164 (11 wallets) · 7d net $7.9k · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
12.8%
Yes
Implied No
87.2%
No
Volume
$134.9k
CLOB
Traders
377
2,045 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
13.7% → 12.5% (-1.2pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$164
Buy
$509
Sell
$344
Whales
11
Last 7 days
Net flow
$7.9k
Buy
$15.6k
Sell
$7.7k
Whales
42
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8a97…593d | $16.3k | $11.5k | $4.9k | $-6.6k |
| 0x7054…82b8 | $12.6k | $6.1k | $6.4k | $284 |
| 0x3eed…cb2a | $9.9k | $9.9k | $0 | $-9.9k |
| 0x13a2…7967 | $9.1k | $1.5k | $7.5k | $6.0k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3adf…2380 | 260 | $124.3k | $-17.1k | 2 |
| 0x5188…c804 | 124 | $79.0k | $10.6k | 5 |
| 0x891e…3941 | 122 | $78.8k | $-5.8k | 2 |
| 0x8a97…593d | 456 | $72.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 10 total · Event board
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
open · $82.2k
98.5%
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open · $79.0k
97.7%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
open · $270.5k
96.0%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
open · $969.3k
87.5%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open · $489.6k
78.5%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open · $720.3k
64.5%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open · $366.9k
29.5%
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
open · $134.9k
12.8%
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
open · $165.7k
7.0%
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
open · $94.8k
5.3%
| 0x7971…baf0 | $7.6k | $895 | $6.7k | $5.8k |
| 0x8a27…4932 | $5.5k | $3.1k | $2.3k | $-786 |
| 0x995c…b1ea | $3.9k | $2.5k | $1.5k | $-1.0k |
| 0x5b63…11a4 | $3.9k | $560 | $3.3k | $2.8k |
| 0x4b1c…9c62 | $3.5k | $3.5k | $0 | $-3.5k |
| 0x57e4…835e | $3.4k | $3.1k | $311 | $-2.8k |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | $3.3k | $3.2k | $102 | $-3.1k |
| 0x2af9…7816 | $3.2k | $464 | $2.7k | $2.2k |
| $-20.2k |
| 6 |
| 0x6606…1338 | 87 | $69.8k | $-28.1k | 6 |
| 0x57e4…835e | 130 | $49.2k | $-25.0k | 5 |
| 0x05c6…d823 | 32 | $48.6k | $-15.2k | 2 |
| 0x032e…2a9e | 426 | $45.4k | $6.7k | 8 |
| 0x3eed…cb2a | 92 | $41.2k | $-41.2k | 5 |
| 0x635c…45c6 | 53 | $40.4k | $-7.6k | 2 |
