0xf5082588e782e5437ac1bcfe4bd6d8fe7ced8c2519118f3ad25c2956da63bbd0
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?” trades at 5% YES on Polymarket with $94.8k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 5.3% · CLOB volume $94.8k · whales 24h net $602 (18 wallets) · 7d net $3.2k · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
5.3%
Yes
Implied No
94.7%
No
Volume
$94.8k
CLOB
Traders
460
2,327 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
4.4% → 4.9% (+0.5pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$602
Buy
$1.7k
Sell
$1.1k
Whales
18
Last 7 days
Net flow
$3.2k
Buy
$6.0k
Sell
$2.7k
Whales
60
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8a97…593d | $3.8k | $2.3k | $1.5k | $-852 |
| 0x3eed…cb2a | $2.9k | $2.9k | $0 | $-2.9k |
| 0x7971…baf0 | $2.7k | $121 | $2.5k | $2.4k |
| 0x93ef…468b | $2.4k | $1.2k | $1.2k | $-14 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3adf…2380 | 260 | $124.3k | $-17.1k | 2 |
| 0x5188…c804 | 124 | $79.0k | $10.6k | 5 |
| 0x891e…3941 | 122 | $78.8k | $-5.8k | 2 |
| 0x8a97…593d | 456 | $72.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 10 total · Event board
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
open · $82.2k
98.5%
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open · $79.0k
97.7%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
open · $270.5k
96.0%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
open · $969.3k
87.5%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open · $489.6k
78.5%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open · $720.3k
64.5%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open · $366.9k
29.5%
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
open · $134.9k
12.8%
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
open · $165.7k
7.0%
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
open · $94.8k
5.3%
| 0xa220…6c50 | $2.2k | $112 | $2.0k | $1.9k |
| 0x4b1c…9c62 | $2.0k | $2.0k | $0 | $-2.0k |
| 0xe53c…e569 | $1.7k | $853 | $864 | $11 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $1.3k | $940 | $407 | $-533 |
| 0x167a…91d5 | $1.2k | $852 | $390 | $-462 |
| 0x34b0…d620 | $1.1k | $950 | $156 | $-794 |
| 0xa8a4…d478 | $1.0k | $50 | $966 | $916 |
| 0xa78e…8ad3 | $1.0k | $1.0k | $0 | $-1.0k |
| $-20.2k |
| 6 |
| 0x6606…1338 | 87 | $69.8k | $-28.1k | 6 |
| 0x57e4…835e | 130 | $49.2k | $-25.0k | 5 |
| 0x05c6…d823 | 32 | $48.6k | $-15.2k | 2 |
| 0x032e…2a9e | 426 | $45.4k | $6.7k | 8 |
| 0x3eed…cb2a | 92 | $41.2k | $-41.2k | 5 |
| 0x635c…45c6 | 53 | $40.4k | $-7.6k | 2 |
