0x1aabd7e8fe19085c7ba902d5002d1fbb9116473fb89bdfcd3be5478017916013
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?” trades at 96% YES on Polymarket with $270.5k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 96.0% · CLOB volume $270.5k · whales 24h net $1.9k (12 wallets) · 7d net $3.4k · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
96.0%
Yes
Implied No
4.0%
No
Volume
$270.5k
CLOB
Traders
722
3,085 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
96.4% → 95.5% (-0.9pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.9k
Buy
$2.5k
Sell
$610
Whales
12
Last 7 days
Net flow
$3.4k
Buy
$4.7k
Sell
$1.3k
Whales
30
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdf0f…1d61 | $7.2k | $7.0k | $253 | $-6.7k |
| 0x464e…1a67 | $5.2k | $5.1k | $86 | $-5.0k |
| 0x10d4…69eb | $4.3k | $2.1k | $2.1k | $0 |
| 0xa800…bd7a | $2.9k | $1.5k | $1.5k | $0 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3adf…2380 | 260 | $124.3k | $-17.1k | 2 |
| 0x5188…c804 | 124 | $79.0k | $10.6k | 5 |
| 0x891e…3941 | 122 | $78.8k | $-5.8k | 2 |
| 0x8a97…593d | 456 | $72.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 10 total · Event board
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
open · $82.2k
98.5%
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open · $79.0k
97.7%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
open · $270.5k
96.0%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
open · $969.3k
87.5%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open · $489.6k
78.5%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open · $720.3k
64.5%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open · $366.9k
29.5%
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
open · $134.9k
12.8%
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
open · $165.7k
7.0%
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
open · $94.8k
5.3%
| 0x2f70…b854 | $2.7k | $1.4k | $1.3k | $-68 |
| 0xb0a5…3e1f | $2.0k | $1.2k | $872 | $-290 |
| 0x99f6…37fc | $2.0k | $1.6k | $389 | $-1.2k |
| 0x8a97…593d | $1.9k | $960 | $959 | $-1 |
| 0xc091…e7d0 | $1.9k | $1.8k | $57 | $-1.8k |
| 0x63e0…bfd9 | $1.5k | $1.5k | $0 | $-1.5k |
| 0xc7e4…f5b8 | $1.5k | $1.5k | $74 | $-1.4k |
| 0x6606…1338 | $1.5k | $966 | $484 | $-482 |
| $-20.2k |
| 6 |
| 0x6606…1338 | 87 | $69.8k | $-28.1k | 6 |
| 0x57e4…835e | 130 | $49.2k | $-25.0k | 5 |
| 0x05c6…d823 | 32 | $48.6k | $-15.2k | 2 |
| 0x032e…2a9e | 426 | $45.4k | $6.7k | 8 |
| 0x3eed…cb2a | 92 | $41.2k | $-41.2k | 5 |
| 0x635c…45c6 | 53 | $40.4k | $-7.6k | 2 |
