0x90452ee2a372f901764dabc1812cd0d450c1239e10a44722627647ec060f32a1
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?” trades at 29% YES on Polymarket with $366.9k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 28.9% · CLOB volume $366.9k · whales 24h net $15.8k (43 wallets) · 7d net $40.5k · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
28.9%
Yes
Implied No
71.1%
No
Volume
$366.9k
CLOB
Traders
697
4,608 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
28.2% → 28.2% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$15.8k
Buy
$28.1k
Sell
$12.4k
Whales
43
Last 7 days
Net flow
$40.5k
Buy
$71.5k
Sell
$31.0k
Whales
94
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8a97…593d | $31.0k | $19.9k | $11.2k | $-8.7k |
| 0x5188…c804 | $23.0k | $15.1k | $7.8k | $-7.3k |
| 0x7054…82b8 | $20.6k | $11.4k | $9.2k | $-2.2k |
| 0x032e…2a9e | $15.7k | $5.6k | $10.0k | $4.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3adf…2380 | 260 | $124.3k | $-17.1k | 2 |
| 0x5188…c804 | 124 | $79.0k | $10.6k | 5 |
| 0x891e…3941 | 122 | $78.8k | $-5.8k | 2 |
| 0x8a97…593d | 456 | $72.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 10 total · Event board
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
open · $82.2k
98.5%
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open · $79.0k
97.7%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
open · $270.5k
96.0%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
open · $969.3k
87.5%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open · $489.6k
77.5%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open · $720.3k
63.5%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open · $366.9k
29.0%
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
open · $134.9k
12.4%
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
open · $165.7k
5.9%
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
open · $94.8k
5.3%
| 0x5b63…11a4 | $14.1k | $3.9k | $10.3k | $6.4k |
| 0x13a2…7967 | $13.7k | $4.2k | $9.5k | $5.3k |
| 0x83ab…3d56 | $11.4k | $10.2k | $1.2k | $-9.0k |
| 0x3eed…cb2a | $11.2k | $11.2k | $1 | $-11.2k |
| 0x5c11…9c16 | $11.1k | $6.2k | $4.9k | $-1.2k |
| 0x635c…45c6 | $11.0k | $4.0k | $7.0k | $3.0k |
| 0x37f9…cc18 | $10.2k | $10.2k | $0 | $-10.2k |
| 0x48db…dd3a | $10.1k | $5.7k | $4.4k | $-1.2k |
| $-20.2k |
| 6 |
| 0x6606…1338 | 87 | $69.8k | $-28.1k | 6 |
| 0x57e4…835e | 130 | $49.2k | $-25.0k | 5 |
| 0x05c6…d823 | 32 | $48.6k | $-15.2k | 2 |
| 0x032e…2a9e | 426 | $45.4k | $6.7k | 8 |
| 0x3eed…cb2a | 92 | $41.2k | $-41.2k | 5 |
| 0x635c…45c6 | 53 | $40.4k | $-7.6k | 2 |
