Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

0x195b7365dc4011dc6f7e1acb52cb42c6a54ebea9b8ef00b84a0cadb985412ca6

Bullish lean

Implied Yes 94.8% · CLOB volume $33.3k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $527 · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

94.8%

Yes

Implied No

5.3%

Volume

$33.3k

CLOB

Traders

217

813 trades

Yes 94.8%No 5.3%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$527

Buy

$873

Sell

$346

Whales

Bull case

•Market prices Yes at 94.8%
•7d whale net still positive ($527)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($33.3k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-31 22:15:00

94.8¢$29

YESBUY2026-07-31 22:15:00

5.2¢$1

YESBUY2026-07-31 22:15:00

5.2¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-31 16:05:56

93.7¢$29

YESBUY2026-07-31 16:05:56

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x0826…0b32	$1.4k	$1.4k	$18	$-1.3k
0xde79…06ab	$1.3k	$63	$1.2k	$1.2k
0xba0d…9a6e	$1.2k	$944	$261	$-683
0x032e…2a9e	$1.1k	$518	$623	$105

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x7054…82b8	136	$23.5k	$3.0k	2
0xcc29…7774	84	$19.7k	$-7.6k	2
0x10ba…10b8	84	$16.1k	$721	4
0x6fbb…a41a	167	$14.7k

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