0x195b7365dc4011dc6f7e1acb52cb42c6a54ebea9b8ef00b84a0cadb985412ca6
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?” trades at 98% YES on Polymarket with $79.0k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 97.7% · CLOB volume $79.0k · whales 24h net $1.8k (13 wallets) · 7d net $3.3k · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
97.7%
Yes
Implied No
2.3%
No
Volume
$79.0k
CLOB
Traders
385
1,621 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
97.8% → 97.8% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.8k
Buy
$1.8k
Sell
$40
Whales
13
Last 7 days
Net flow
$3.3k
Buy
$3.4k
Sell
$103
Whales
29
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x975a…359a | $10.4k | $5.5k | $4.9k | $-616 |
| 0x5b39…d37f | $9.7k | $180 | $9.6k | $9.4k |
| 0xdf0f…1d61 | $5.0k | $5.0k | $0 | $-5.0k |
| 0xf498…a422 | $2.8k | $2.8k | $0 | $-2.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3adf…2380 | 260 | $124.3k | $-17.1k | 2 |
| 0x5188…c804 | 124 | $79.0k | $10.6k | 5 |
| 0x891e…3941 | 122 | $78.8k | $-5.8k | 2 |
| 0x8a97…593d | 456 | $72.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 10 total · Event board
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
open · $82.2k
98.5%
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open · $79.0k
97.7%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
open · $270.5k
96.0%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
open · $969.3k
87.5%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open · $489.6k
77.5%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open · $720.3k
63.5%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open · $366.9k
29.0%
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
open · $134.9k
12.8%
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
open · $165.7k
6.2%
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
open · $94.8k
5.3%
| 0xa78e…8ad3 | $2.4k | $2.3k | $69 | $-2.2k |
| 0xde9e…e136 | $2.0k | $2.0k | $0 | $-2.0k |
| 0x5188…c804 | $1.8k | $64 | $1.7k | $1.7k |
| 0x5a21…9318 | $1.7k | $41 | $1.6k | $1.6k |
| 0x032e…2a9e | $1.2k | $508 | $707 | $200 |
| 0x1c4f…2852 | $1.1k | $1.1k | $24 | $-1.0k |
| 0x6606…1338 | $1.0k | $979 | $22 | $-957 |
| 0x8fda…3fd7 | $814 | $408 | $406 | $-2 |
| $-20.2k |
| 6 |
| 0x6606…1338 | 87 | $69.8k | $-28.1k | 6 |
| 0x57e4…835e | 130 | $49.2k | $-25.0k | 5 |
| 0x05c6…d823 | 32 | $48.6k | $-15.2k | 2 |
| 0x032e…2a9e | 426 | $45.4k | $6.7k | 8 |
| 0x3eed…cb2a | 92 | $41.2k | $-41.2k | 5 |
| 0x635c…45c6 | 53 | $40.4k | $-7.6k | 2 |
