0x76e7f72aef4e8533e5f3e6672f223899682d52849e022cac8592a7a4f56cb1a7
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?” trades at 88% YES on Polymarket with $969.3k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 87.5% · CLOB volume $969.3k · whales 24h net $12.7k (25 wallets) · 7d net $15.3k · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
87.5%
Yes
Implied No
12.5%
No
Volume
$969.3k
CLOB
Traders
1,062
6,398 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
86.0% → 87.0% (+1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$12.7k
Buy
$16.7k
Sell
$4.1k
Whales
25
Last 7 days
Net flow
$15.3k
Buy
$20.8k
Sell
$5.5k
Whales
48
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x05c6…d823 | $38.6k | $22.1k | $16.5k | $-5.6k |
| 0x9d32…0fb9 | $32.5k | $32.5k | $0 | $-32.5k |
| 0x756d…08e7 | $17.8k | $11.3k | $6.5k | $-4.8k |
| 0x5188…c804 | $17.0k | $4.7k | $12.3k | $7.6k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3adf…2380 | 260 | $124.3k | $-17.1k | 2 |
| 0x5188…c804 | 124 | $79.0k | $10.6k | 5 |
| 0x891e…3941 | 122 | $78.8k | $-5.8k | 2 |
| 0x8a97…593d | 456 | $72.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 10 total · Event board
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
open · $82.2k
98.5%
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open · $79.0k
97.7%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
open · $270.5k
96.0%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
open · $969.3k
87.5%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open · $489.6k
78.5%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open · $720.3k
64.5%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open · $366.9k
29.5%
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
open · $134.9k
12.8%
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
open · $165.7k
7.0%
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
open · $94.8k
5.3%
| 0x99f6…37fc | $12.7k | $10.8k | $1.9k | $-8.9k |
| 0x6606…1338 | $12.7k | $11.0k | $1.7k | $-9.3k |
| 0xd55f…b347 | $12.7k | $6.3k | $6.4k | $21 |
| 0xba2d…23dc | $11.2k | $5.7k | $5.6k | $-65 |
| 0x75e2…97c9 | $10.2k | $948 | $9.2k | $8.3k |
| 0xc077…3579 | $10.0k | $10.0k | $0 | $-10.0k |
| 0x57e4…835e | $9.5k | $6.2k | $3.3k | $-2.9k |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4 | $9.5k | $6.0k | $3.4k | $-2.6k |
| $-20.2k |
| 6 |
| 0x6606…1338 | 87 | $69.8k | $-28.1k | 6 |
| 0x57e4…835e | 130 | $49.2k | $-25.0k | 5 |
| 0x05c6…d823 | 32 | $48.6k | $-15.2k | 2 |
| 0x032e…2a9e | 426 | $45.4k | $6.7k | 8 |
| 0x3eed…cb2a | 92 | $41.2k | $-41.2k | 5 |
| 0x635c…45c6 | 53 | $40.4k | $-7.6k | 2 |
