Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

0x76e7f72aef4e8533e5f3e6672f223899682d52849e022cac8592a7a4f56cb1a7

Bullish lean

Implied Yes 72.5% · CLOB volume $755.7k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $2.0k · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

72.5%

Yes

Implied No

27.5%

Volume

$755.7k

CLOB

Traders

773

4,858 trades

Yes 72.5%No 27.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$2.0k

Buy

$2.4k

Sell

$418

Whales

Bull case

•Market prices Yes at 72.5%
•7d whale net still positive ($2.0k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Watch for unwind volume on Yes or deadline risk

Recent fills

100 shown

YESBUY2026-08-01 01:27:44

28.0¢$100

NOBUY2026-08-01 01:27:44

72.0¢$257

YESBUY2026-07-31 08:38:06

28.0¢$13

NOBUY2026-07-31 08:38:06

72.0¢$20

NOBUY2026-07-31 08:38:06

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xcc29…7774	$17.4k	$12.7k	$4.8k	$-7.9k
0x2bac…ac06	$9.4k	$9.4k	$0	$-9.4k
0xa3e9…63d0	$6.8k	$5.5k	$1.3k	$-4.2k
0x10ba…10b8	$6.6k	$2.0k	$4.6k	$2.7k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x7054…82b8	136	$23.5k	$3.0k	2
0xcc29…7774	84	$19.7k	$-7.6k	2
0x10ba…10b8	84	$16.1k	$721	4
0x6fbb…a41a	167	$14.7k

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