0x88b2827dd9bb9b3ebd4f229561a7606bd2bbdedbf3dfbb9c563e1e7dd2673747
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?” trades at 64% YES on Polymarket with $720.3k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 63.5% · CLOB volume $720.3k · whales 24h net $53.5k (47 wallets) · 7d net $72.1k · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
63.5%
Yes
Implied No
36.5%
No
Volume
$720.3k
CLOB
Traders
968
5,507 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
61.0% → 63.0% (+2.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$53.5k
Buy
$86.5k
Sell
$33.0k
Whales
47
Last 7 days
Net flow
$72.1k
Buy
$121.9k
Sell
$49.8k
Whales
99
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3adf…2380 | $108.8k | $61.3k | $47.5k | $-13.9k |
| 0x891e…3941 | $67.8k | $40.2k | $27.6k | $-12.5k |
| 0x0ae2…8c70 | $36.7k | $22.7k | $14.0k | $-8.7k |
| 0x6606…1338 | $30.2k | $20.8k | $9.4k | $-11.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3adf…2380 | 260 | $124.3k | $-17.1k | 2 |
| 0x5188…c804 | 124 | $79.0k | $10.6k | 5 |
| 0x891e…3941 | 122 | $78.8k | $-5.8k | 2 |
| 0x8a97…593d | 456 | $72.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 10 total · Event board
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
open · $82.2k
98.5%
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open · $79.0k
97.7%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
open · $270.5k
96.0%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
open · $969.3k
87.5%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open · $489.6k
77.5%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open · $720.3k
63.5%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open · $366.9k
29.1%
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
open · $134.9k
12.7%
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
open · $165.7k
5.9%
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
open · $94.8k
5.3%
| 0x635c…45c6 | $29.4k | $20.0k | $9.4k | $-10.6k |
| 0x5b39…d37f | $28.1k | $20.0k | $8.1k | $-12.0k |
| 0x032e…2a9e | $24.7k | $11.5k | $13.1k | $1.6k |
| 0x3402…9446 | $24.1k | $24.1k | $0 | $-24.1k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $22.0k | $17.6k | $4.3k | $-13.3k |
| 0x930a…2b42 | $19.3k | $19.3k | $0 | $-19.3k |
| 0xeb50…be06 | $18.6k | $9.9k | $8.7k | $-1.2k |
| 0x57e4…835e | $17.6k | $14.3k | $3.3k | $-11.1k |
| $-20.2k |
| 6 |
| 0x6606…1338 | 87 | $69.8k | $-28.1k | 6 |
| 0x57e4…835e | 130 | $49.2k | $-25.0k | 5 |
| 0x05c6…d823 | 32 | $48.6k | $-15.2k | 2 |
| 0x032e…2a9e | 426 | $45.4k | $6.7k | 8 |
| 0x3eed…cb2a | 92 | $41.2k | $-41.2k | 5 |
| 0x635c…45c6 | 53 | $40.4k | $-7.6k | 2 |
