Multi-outcome · 5 open
Fed Decision in October?
Volume $10.25MTraders 3,150Trades 46,967
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $2.20M
49.5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $2.34M
48.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $1.32M
0.9%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $1.79M
0.5%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0x58b3…653c5 mkts · $1.02M
- 0xc658…b7842 mkts · $588.1k
- 0xc8ab…64183 mkts · $411.0k
- 0xb4f2…78623 mkts · $357.4k
- 0xa309…4cf24 mkts · $349.2k
- 0x3f02…a51c5 mkts · $340.0k
- 0x7b02…49913 mkts · $333.3k
- 0xe907…cff65 mkts · $292.8k
- 0xaf15…5dd25 mkts · $274.3k
- 0x0380…073d5 mkts · $252.0k
- 0x7cf9…27984 mkts · $251.9k
- 0x24d2…14724 mkts · $236.3k
- 0xfbe6…00f81 mkts · $231.6k
- 0x524d…44953 mkts · $226.2k
- 0x35bb…009b2 mkts · $177.2k