0x12aa13b3da17ceae1b0a59b5d5b77121e91bb79b4bb0b52bf6543ed3f8d0953b
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?” trades at 50% YES on Polymarket with $2.20M total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 49.5% · CLOB volume $2.20M · whales 24h net $276.9k (133 wallets) · 7d net $1.03M · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
49.5%
Yes
Implied No
50.5%
No
Volume
$2.20M
CLOB
Traders
1,396
11,133 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
55.0% → 50.0% (-5.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$276.9k
Buy
$502.7k
Sell
$225.8k
Whales
133
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.03M
Buy
$2.04M
Sell
$1.01M
Whales
506
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $366.3k | $217.3k | $149.0k | $-68.3k |
| 0xc658…b784 | $321.8k | $123.5k | $198.3k | $74.7k |
| 0x4b93…5367 | $133.1k | $84.1k | $49.0k | $-35.1k |
| 0x58b3…653c | $132.3k | $114.3k | $18.0k | $-96.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x58b3…653c | 547 | $1.02M | $-717.1k | 5 |
| 0xc658…b784 | 805 | $588.1k | $92.1k | 2 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 550 | $411.0k | $-111.4k | 3 |
| 0xb4f2…7862 | 411 | $357.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $2.20M
49.5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $2.34M
48.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $1.32M
0.9%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $1.79M
0.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $1.33M
0.4%
| 0xe033…40a5 | $130.8k | $62.5k | $68.2k | $5.7k |
| 0x7cf9…2798 | $111.8k | $77.3k | $34.4k | $-42.9k |
| 0xf559…f462 | $100.2k | $50.0k | $50.2k | $235 |
| 0xaf15…5dd2 | $81.6k | $67.0k | $14.6k | $-52.5k |
| 0x35bb…009b | $78.8k | $78.8k | $0 | $-78.8k |
| 0xe907…cff6 | $68.9k | $38.6k | $30.3k | $-8.3k |
| 0x1cfc…2111 | $61.7k | $61.7k | $0 | $-61.7k |
| 0x82d9…eaf8 | $61.0k | $29.2k | $31.8k | $2.6k |
| $-351.1k |
| 3 |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | 156 | $349.2k | $-271.7k | 4 |
| 0x3f02…a51c | 847 | $340.0k | $-96.6k | 5 |
| 0x7b02…4991 | 552 | $333.3k | $46.1k | 3 |
| 0xe907…cff6 | 723 | $292.8k | $-19.8k | 5 |
| 0xaf15…5dd2 | 474 | $274.3k | $-199.2k | 5 |
| 0x0380…073d | 1,202 | $252.0k | $-152.1k | 5 |
