0xdf9bf27ee5757c55b44b8b9826ddc9ec3a8809aa3278634c45edbb7fc8f1a3e3
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?” trades at 49% YES on Polymarket with $2.34M total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 48.5% · CLOB volume $2.34M · whales 24h net $87.3k (127 wallets) · 7d net $1.06M · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
48.5%
Yes
Implied No
51.5%
No
Volume
$2.34M
CLOB
Traders
1,799
12,857 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
43.0% → 49.0% (+6.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$87.3k
Buy
$211.5k
Sell
$124.2k
Whales
127
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.06M
Buy
$2.20M
Sell
$1.14M
Whales
631
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc658…b784 | $266.3k | $124.5k | $141.8k | $17.4k |
| 0x58b3…653c | $257.5k | $126.2k | $131.4k | $5.2k |
| 0xfbe6…00f8 | $231.6k | $122.8k | $108.8k | $-14.0k |
| 0xe907…cff6 | $208.4k | $114.0k | $94.4k | $-19.7k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x58b3…653c | 547 | $1.02M | $-717.1k | 5 |
| 0xc658…b784 | 805 | $588.1k | $92.1k | 2 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 550 | $411.0k | $-111.4k | 3 |
| 0xb4f2…7862 | 411 | $357.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $2.20M
49.5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $2.34M
48.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $1.32M
0.9%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $1.79M
0.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $1.33M
0.4%
| 0x7b02…4991 | $198.1k | $121.5k | $76.6k | $-44.9k |
| 0x7cf9…2798 | $136.2k | $67.3k | $68.9k | $1.6k |
| 0x35bb…009b | $98.4k | $95.0k | $3.5k | $-91.5k |
| 0x05f6…25a1 | $91.9k | $55.7k | $36.2k | $-19.6k |
| 0x80a4…22cc | $87.3k | $84.0k | $3.3k | $-80.7k |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | $70.0k | $44.8k | $25.2k | $-19.6k |
| 0xaf15…5dd2 | $65.7k | $43.4k | $22.3k | $-21.1k |
| 0xa7cc…644e | $65.4k | $48.1k | $17.3k | $-30.7k |
| $-351.1k |
| 3 |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | 156 | $349.2k | $-271.7k | 4 |
| 0x3f02…a51c | 847 | $340.0k | $-96.6k | 5 |
| 0x7b02…4991 | 552 | $333.3k | $46.1k | 3 |
| 0xe907…cff6 | 723 | $292.8k | $-19.8k | 5 |
| 0xaf15…5dd2 | 474 | $274.3k | $-199.2k | 5 |
| 0x0380…073d | 1,202 | $252.0k | $-152.1k | 5 |
