0x9cf563d7b55aa9aa876d5d7e55126347eee473f0ae56d799e325fdef2bf25297
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $1.79M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.5% · CLOB volume $1.79M · whales 24h net $17.1k (24 wallets) · 7d net $658.4k · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.5%
Yes
Implied No
99.5%
No
Volume
$1.79M
CLOB
Traders
937
11,573 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.6% → 0.5% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$17.1k
Buy
$213.6k
Sell
$196.5k
Whales
24
Last 7 days
Net flow
$658.4k
Buy
$1.17M
Sell
$511.7k
Whales
236
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb4f2…7862 | $263.0k | $261.7k | $1.3k | $-260.3k |
| 0x24d2…1472 | $234.9k | $133.5k | $101.4k | $-32.1k |
| 0x58b3…653c | $194.0k | $193.4k | $636 | $-192.7k |
| 0xdd9c…4ae0 | $169.2k | $1.0k | $168.2k | $167.2k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x58b3…653c | 547 | $1.02M | $-717.1k | 5 |
| 0xc658…b784 | 805 | $588.1k | $92.1k | 2 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 550 | $411.0k | $-111.4k | 3 |
| 0xb4f2…7862 | 411 | $357.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $2.20M
49.5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $2.34M
48.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $1.32M
0.9%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $1.79M
0.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $1.33M
0.4%
| 0xa309…4cf2 | $99.0k | $88.6k | $10.5k | $-78.1k |
| 0x77fb…266c | $77.6k | $57.8k | $19.8k | $-38.0k |
| 0x0380…073d | $62.7k | $47.1k | $15.6k | $-31.6k |
| 0x056d…b817 | $53.9k | $24.0k | $29.9k | $6.0k |
| 0x30e4…5102 | $48.5k | $36.2k | $12.3k | $-24.0k |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | $44.5k | $14.9k | $29.6k | $14.7k |
| 0xb7b8…db31 | $43.7k | $43.1k | $654 | $-42.4k |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | $42.2k | $29.8k | $12.5k | $-17.3k |
| $-351.1k |
| 3 |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | 156 | $349.2k | $-271.7k | 4 |
| 0x3f02…a51c | 847 | $340.0k | $-96.6k | 5 |
| 0x7b02…4991 | 552 | $333.3k | $46.1k | 3 |
| 0xe907…cff6 | 723 | $292.8k | $-19.8k | 5 |
| 0xaf15…5dd2 | 474 | $274.3k | $-199.2k | 5 |
| 0x0380…073d | 1,202 | $252.0k | $-152.1k | 5 |
