0xde5d75ab7702875623ba509bc923241e1211da74a113521b3b70ddac930d7316
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $1.32M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.9% · CLOB volume $1.32M · whales 24h net $17.6k (22 wallets) · 7d net $497.7k · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.9%
Yes
Implied No
99.2%
No
Volume
$1.32M
CLOB
Traders
464
5,679 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.9% → 0.9% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$17.6k
Buy
$55.0k
Sell
$37.4k
Whales
22
Last 7 days
Net flow
$497.7k
Buy
$1.05M
Sell
$551.2k
Whales
189
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x58b3…653c | $217.6k | $217.3k | $352 | $-216.9k |
| 0x3f02…a51c | $166.9k | $46.6k | $120.3k | $73.7k |
| 0x71ed…d338 | $149.2k | $148.8k | $441 | $-148.3k |
| 0x524d…4495 | $98.2k | $682 | $97.5k | $96.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x58b3…653c | 547 | $1.02M | $-717.1k | 5 |
| 0xc658…b784 | 805 | $588.1k | $92.1k | 2 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 550 | $411.0k | $-111.4k | 3 |
| 0xb4f2…7862 | 411 | $357.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $2.20M
49.5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $2.34M
48.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $1.32M
0.9%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $1.79M
0.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $1.33M
0.4%
| 0x7b02…4991 | $98.0k | $1.7k | $96.4k | $94.7k |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | $91.4k | $88.6k | $2.8k | $-85.7k |
| 0xaf15…5dd2 | $58.7k | $58.2k | $501 | $-57.7k |
| 0x0380…073d | $52.3k | $50.8k | $1.5k | $-49.3k |
| 0xcaab…24dd | $51.2k | $50.9k | $295 | $-50.6k |
| 0x7bb2…682c | $50.4k | $350 | $50.0k | $49.6k |
| 0xb5d1…6e35 | $47.2k | $530 | $46.6k | $46.1k |
| 0xbc54…680f | $40.3k | $40.2k | $47 | $-40.2k |
| $-351.1k |
| 3 |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | 156 | $349.2k | $-271.7k | 4 |
| 0x3f02…a51c | 847 | $340.0k | $-96.6k | 5 |
| 0x7b02…4991 | 552 | $333.3k | $46.1k | 3 |
| 0xe907…cff6 | 723 | $292.8k | $-19.8k | 5 |
| 0xaf15…5dd2 | 474 | $274.3k | $-199.2k | 5 |
| 0x0380…073d | 1,202 | $252.0k | $-152.1k | 5 |
