0x1a01bf78f56a507fcb666d564d8c8b91b0750679163ed6e96746102c9b7d285d
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” trades at 61% YES on Polymarket with $11.29M total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 60.8% · CLOB volume $11.29M · whales 24h net $135.8k (140 wallets) · 7d net $399.0k · 6/19 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
60.8%
Yes
Implied No
39.2%
No
Volume
$11.29M
CLOB
Traders
8,935
135,267 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
57.8% → 60.8% (+3.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$135.8k
Buy
$258.6k
Sell
$122.8k
Whales
140
Last 7 days
Net flow
$399.0k
Buy
$828.9k
Sell
$429.9k
Whales
351
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xeb49…693e | $254.5k | $94.4k | $160.1k | $65.7k |
| 0x88c4…129a | $229.2k | $89.6k | $139.6k | $50.0k |
| 0x23d8…0288 | $216.9k | $129.2k | $87.7k | $-41.5k |
| 0x58b3…653c | $206.7k | $184.4k | $22.3k | $-162.1k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x58b3…653c | 1,908 | $2.95M | $-2.50M | 12 |
| 0x13fa…954c | 9,995 | $1.27M | $-1.09M | 14 |
| 0xeb34…7268 | 1,609 | $1.11M | $-970.8k | 10 |
| 0x23d8…0288 | 1,049 | $1.10M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 19 total · Event board
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $11.29M
60.8%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $11.56M
38.5%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $13.94M
0.9%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $7.61M
0.1%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $7.25M
0.1%
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $6.42M
0.1%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $14.08M
0.1%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.46M
0.1%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.45M
0.1%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.37M
0.1%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $8.00M
0.1%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $7.65M
0.1%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $7.54M
0.1%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $5.59M
0.1%
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $4.99M
0.1%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $4.97M
0.1%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $4.03M
0.1%
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $3.97M
0.1%
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $2.42M
0.1%
| 0xb1ce…ced2 | $180.9k | $55.6k | $125.4k | $69.8k |
| 0xfb51…742d | $179.9k | $148.7k | $31.3k | $-117.4k |
| 0xd3a7…3362 | $150.3k | $150.0k | $350 | $-149.6k |
| 0x7f9e…3a0e | $149.2k | $58.0k | $91.2k | $33.2k |
| 0x2974…9c23 | $128.7k | $46.2k | $82.4k | $36.2k |
| 0xeb34…7268 | $121.4k | $117.7k | $3.7k | $-114.0k |
| 0xe234…304a | $117.5k | $56.3k | $61.3k | $5.0k |
| 0x13fa…954c | $100.9k | $88.8k | $12.1k | $-76.7k |
| $-434.1k |
| 11 |
| 0x2106…4dea | 1,519 | $950.2k | $-947.9k | 18 |
| 0xbc75…3f69 | 1,322 | $949.2k | $-240.5k | 4 |
| 0x56d1…17c4 | 1,082 | $886.0k | $-28.1k | 2 |
| 0x77fb…266c | 477 | $824.1k | $-432.2k | 3 |
| 0x3659…0451 | 2,976 | $819.9k | $-810.9k | 9 |
| 0xdd9e…49b3 | 126 | $764.8k | $-717.0k | 3 |
