0xd0536d9612e041312235baceac52bde48821e8aad4607533513b3782904b7d49
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $6.45M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $6.45M · whales 24h net $149.6k (42 wallets) · 7d net $149.7k · 6/19 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.1%
Yes
Implied No
99.8%
No
Volume
$6.45M
CLOB
Traders
3,091
45,017 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.2% → 0.1% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$149.6k
Buy
$152.1k
Sell
$2.4k
Whales
42
Last 7 days
Net flow
$149.7k
Buy
$155.1k
Sell
$5.4k
Whales
44
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x58b3…653c | $273.2k | $273.2k | $8 | $-273.2k |
| 0x5f3f…b235 | $172.7k | $183 | $172.5k | $172.3k |
| 0xeb34…7268 | $115.5k | $115.5k | $0 | $-115.5k |
| 0x78ed…a111 | $112.6k | $151 | $112.5k | $112.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x58b3…653c | 1,908 | $2.95M | $-2.50M | 12 |
| 0x13fa…954c | 9,996 | $1.27M | $-1.09M | 14 |
| 0xeb34…7268 | 1,629 | $1.13M | $-979.9k | 10 |
| 0x23d8…0288 | 1,049 | $1.10M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 19 total · Event board
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $11.33M
60.8%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $11.61M
37.5%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $13.95M
0.9%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $7.63M
0.1%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $7.26M
0.1%
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $6.45M
0.1%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $14.08M
0.1%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.46M
0.1%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.45M
0.1%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.37M
0.1%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $8.00M
0.1%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $7.65M
0.1%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $7.54M
0.1%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $5.59M
0.1%
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $4.99M
0.1%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $4.97M
0.1%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $4.03M
0.1%
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $3.97M
0.1%
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $2.42M
0.1%
| 0x13fa…954c | $101.2k | $101.1k | $69 | $-101.1k |
| 0xc531…9bda | $63.9k | $279 | $63.6k | $63.3k |
| 0xa662…ca47 | $61.7k | $103 | $61.6k | $61.5k |
| 0xbefa…300d | $60.3k | $59.2k | $1.1k | $-58.0k |
| 0x2106…4dea | $58.2k | $58.1k | $87 | $-58.1k |
| 0xe147…81aa | $55.2k | $55.1k | $110 | $-55.0k |
| 0x3659…0451 | $50.1k | $50.0k | $50 | $-50.0k |
| 0x3cb1…5e96 | $48.5k | $48 | $48.4k | $48.4k |
| $-434.1k |
| 11 |
| 0x2106…4dea | 1,519 | $950.2k | $-947.9k | 18 |
| 0xbc75…3f69 | 1,322 | $949.2k | $-240.5k | 4 |
| 0x56d1…17c4 | 1,082 | $886.0k | $-28.1k | 2 |
| 0x77fb…266c | 511 | $836.0k | $-444.2k | 3 |
| 0x3659…0451 | 2,976 | $819.9k | $-810.9k | 9 |
| 0xdd9e…49b3 | 126 | $764.8k | $-717.0k | 3 |
