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Brazil Presidential ElectionActive 63 days left

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0x81a537b379a35e4e17c286d3b37394e94bd74c1779bbe9a13670eb991b201a3a

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $13.70M · whales 24h net $7.3k (27 wallets) · 7d net $42.7k · 11/17 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$13.70M

CLOB

Traders

13,386

140,332 trades

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$7.3k

Buy

$7.5k

Sell

$227

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$42.7k

Buy

$46.3k

Sell

$3.6k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($7.3k)
•7d whale net still positive ($42.7k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

—BUY2026-08-01 20:25:24

0.1¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-01 20:25:24

100000.0¢$1.0k

—BUY2026-08-01 20:19:33

0.1¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-01 20:19:33

100000.0¢$1.0k

—BUY2026-08-01 19:33:26

0.1¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xafab…b922	$117.5k	$58.8k	$58.7k	$-59
0xb687…aee5	$117.3k	$117.2k	$117	$-117.1k
0xbefa…300d	$110.0k	$110.0k	$0	$-110.0k
0x8a81…58b0	$100.5k	$100.5k	$0	$-100.5k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xb687…aee5	16,017	$1.98M	$-1.67M	17
0x2106…4dea	3,582	$747.0k	$-746.6k	17
0xb886…81b3	8,007	$650.6k	$-220.7k	6
0x96ee…bd76	2,037	$642.1k

Dig deeper with Polydata

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