Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0xa59bb6bb91e5c1e4d533864520fbd3bb75d6d0ebb813b4cd8a8b88479bfa8966

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $10.38M · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 11/17 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$10.38M

CLOB

Traders

6,919

105,700 trades

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

—BUY2026-08-01 13:11:54

0.1¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-01 13:11:54

100000.0¢$1.0k

—BUY2026-08-01 12:32:33

0.1¢$3

NOBUY2026-08-01 12:32:33

100000.0¢$3.0k

—BUY2026-08-01 11:22:02

0.1¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xdd9e…49b3	$117.8k	$33.2k	$84.6k	$51.4k
0x24dc…25ab	$104.5k	$52.3k	$52.2k	$-52
0xb687…aee5	$82.2k	$82.1k	$152	$-81.9k
0x12b4…a1be	$55.9k	$11.0k	$45.0k	$34.0k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xb687…aee5	16,017	$1.98M	$-1.67M	17
0x2106…4dea	3,582	$747.0k	$-746.6k	17
0xb886…81b3	8,007	$650.6k	$-220.7k	6
0x96ee…bd76	2,037	$642.1k

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