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Brazil Presidential ElectionActive 63 days left

Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0xafd3f96b7b6084509e625270538ff0699003fafc042263c1216e7f084cef753a

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $4.87M · whales 24h net $7.2k (6 wallets) · 7d net $7.5k · 11/17 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$4.87M

CLOB

Traders

3,968

37,950 trades

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$7.2k

Buy

$7.4k

Sell

$189

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$7.5k

Buy

$7.9k

Sell

$409

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($7.2k)
•7d whale net still positive ($7.5k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-01 13:28:03

100.1¢$38

NOBUY2026-08-01 13:28:03

100000.0¢$38

—BUY2026-08-01 13:12:12

0.1¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-01 13:12:12

100000.0¢$1.0k

—BUY2026-08-01 12:15:32

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xc21e…0215	$117.4k	$117.3k	$68	$-117.2k
0xb687…aee5	$48.9k	$48.5k	$401	$-48.1k
0x12b4…a1be	$33.5k	$33	$33.5k	$33.4k
0x2106…4dea	$32.1k	$32.1k	$27	$-32.1k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xb687…aee5	16,017	$1.98M	$-1.67M	17
0x2106…4dea	3,582	$747.0k	$-746.6k	17
0xb886…81b3	8,007	$650.6k	$-220.7k	6
0x96ee…bd76	2,037	$642.1k

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