0x270b8e5dac0c25d7adf5f0df5472de74c1b0ad36260a67e403120d23006ccd3f
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?” trades at 26% YES on Polymarket with $27.5k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 25.5% · CLOB volume $27.5k · whales 24h net $116 (4 wallets) · 7d net $6.5k · 10/13 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
25.5%
Yes
Implied No
74.5%
No
Volume
$27.5k
CLOB
Traders
95
447 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$116
Buy
$204
Sell
$87
Whales
4
Last 7 days
Net flow
$6.5k
Buy
$12.3k
Sell
$5.8k
Whales
52
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x67d6…245e | $10.9k | $5.9k | $4.9k | $-996 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | $3.3k | $3.3k | $0 | $-3.3k |
| 0x97d3…3f3c | $2.7k | $1.5k | $1.1k | $-400 |
| 0xbfc3…4425 | $2.1k | $1.0k | $1.1k | $127 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x122c…fbed | 1,268 | $116.8k | $344 | 5 |
| 0xbb98…6d3c | 223 | $101.0k | $-16.8k | 3 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | 324 | $82.8k | $-21.2k | 6 |
| 0xe234…304a | 268 | $78.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 13 total · Event board
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
open · $43.0k
69.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?
open · $3.9k
67.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?
open · $2.9k
52.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?
open · $162.5k
49.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?
open · $14.5k
47.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?
open · $3.0k
37.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
open · $178.2k
32.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?
open · $27.5k
25.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
open · $2.74M
13.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open · $1.87M
4.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
closed · $1.72M
0.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
closed · $586.2k
0.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
closed · $817.2k
0.0%
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $1.8k | $1.8k | $0 | $-1.8k |
| 0x2525…b919 | $1.8k | $476 | $1.3k | $812 |
| 0xe102…71df | $1.6k | $1.5k | $174 | $-1.3k |
| 0xd44e…67e2 | $1.3k | $1.3k | $0 | $-1.3k |
| 0x5da1…54a3 | $1.2k | $674 | $560 | $-114 |
| 0xf3fa…7be3 | $1.2k | $456 | $733 | $276 |
| 0x321e…9292 | $1.1k | $904 | $150 | $-754 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $1.0k | $974 | $72 | $-902 |
| $-10.6k |
| 5 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 755 | $76.8k | $-74.5k | 11 |
| 0x32b4…7f09 | 199 | $74.8k | $-16.1k | 2 |
| 0x35bb…009b | 148 | $70.6k | $-5.9k | 2 |
| 0xd426…334a | 432 | $63.4k | $-26.8k | 6 |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0 | 381 | $61.5k | $-26.5k | 3 |
| 0xf244…9b9e | 66 | $61.2k | $-20.4k | 2 |
