Home/Market/0xfb8ac1…9f3727

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Active 29 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?

0xfb8ac17fdf80c31eb666086c6d278a076774d527fabafae9d391468c2f9f3727

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 6.0% · CLOB volume $334.4k · whales 24h net $2.2k (12 wallets) · 7d net $17.5k · 3/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

6.0%

Yes

Implied No

94.0%

Volume

$334.4k

CLOB

Traders

434

2,087 trades

Yes 6.0%No 94.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$2.2k

Buy

$4.6k

Sell

$2.4k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$17.5k

Buy

$38.7k

Sell

$21.1k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($2.2k)
•7d whale net still positive ($17.5k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 6.0% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-01 23:25:32

107.5¢$2

NOBUY2026-08-01 23:25:32

93.0¢$2

NOBUY2026-08-01 23:25:27

95.0¢$24

NOBUY2026-08-01 23:25:27

105.3¢$8

NOBUY2026-08-01 23:25:27

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x7447…a16d	$62.7k	$8.4k	$54.3k	$45.8k
0x5eec…f4e2	$55.6k	$43.7k	$11.8k	$-31.9k
0x9648…6825	$42.9k	$42.7k	$190	$-42.5k
0xa2c6…757b	$38.1k	$4.4k	$33.7k	$29.2k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x9648…6825	410	$92.0k	$-91.6k	4
0xdb35…b137	50	$89.9k	$29.5k	1
0x152f…a549	49	$82.6k	$-70.9k	1
0x5eec…f4e2	183	$77.6k

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