0x5c19f205507ce03ff5f3be08a8090a5969ea6870cc07b902a4ca2e61dfe48fdd
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?” trades at 14% YES on Polymarket with $2.74M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 13.5% · CLOB volume $2.74M · whales 24h net $7.6k (31 wallets) · 7d net $20.8k · 10/13 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
13.5%
Yes
Implied No
86.5%
No
Volume
$2.74M
CLOB
Traders
14,681
80,140 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
16.0% → 13.0% (-3.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$7.6k
Buy
$11.1k
Sell
$3.5k
Whales
31
Last 7 days
Net flow
$20.8k
Buy
$44.0k
Sell
$23.2k
Whales
94
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x32b4…7f09 | $69.7k | $42.1k | $27.6k | $-14.5k |
| 0xbb98…6d3c | $48.4k | $27.8k | $20.6k | $-7.2k |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | $43.9k | $28.6k | $15.3k | $-13.3k |
| 0x122c…fbed | $41.7k | $20.2k | $21.5k | $1.2k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x122c…fbed | 1,268 | $116.8k | $344 | 5 |
| 0xbb98…6d3c | 223 | $101.0k | $-16.8k | 3 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | 324 | $82.8k | $-21.2k | 6 |
| 0xe234…304a | 268 | $78.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 13 total · Event board
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
open · $43.0k
69.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?
open · $3.9k
67.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?
open · $2.9k
52.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?
open · $162.5k
49.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?
open · $14.5k
47.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?
open · $3.0k
37.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
open · $178.2k
32.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?
open · $27.5k
25.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
open · $2.74M
13.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open · $1.87M
4.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
closed · $1.72M
0.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
closed · $586.2k
0.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
closed · $817.2k
0.0%
| 0xcf6a…f9d0 | $37.6k | $29.1k | $8.4k | $-20.7k |
| 0x97ea…3363 | $30.4k | $18.2k | $12.1k | $-6.1k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $30.2k | $29.1k | $1.2k | $-27.9k |
| 0x35bb…009b | $27.5k | $15.4k | $12.1k | $-3.3k |
| 0x1dd1…a156 | $25.1k | $25.1k | $0 | $-25.1k |
| 0xd44e…67e2 | $24.2k | $19.1k | $5.0k | $-14.1k |
| 0xe234…304a | $22.5k | $12.6k | $10.0k | $-2.6k |
| 0xd950…ad1b | $20.1k | $15.6k | $4.5k | $-11.1k |
| $-10.6k |
| 5 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 755 | $76.8k | $-74.5k | 11 |
| 0x32b4…7f09 | 199 | $74.8k | $-16.1k | 2 |
| 0x35bb…009b | 148 | $70.6k | $-5.9k | 2 |
| 0xd426…334a | 432 | $63.4k | $-26.8k | 6 |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0 | 381 | $61.5k | $-26.5k | 3 |
| 0xf244…9b9e | 66 | $61.2k | $-20.4k | 2 |
