0xa1092f590e543158e3f230aca48efd8c1c53198d68d96fcd9c6ef6a83937bb9d
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?” trades at 70% YES on Polymarket with $43.0k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 69.5% · CLOB volume $43.0k · whales 24h net $427 (16 wallets) · 7d net $8.6k · 10/13 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
69.5%
Yes
Implied No
30.5%
No
Volume
$43.0k
CLOB
Traders
106
480 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
70.0% → 68.0% (-2.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$427
Buy
$1.2k
Sell
$736
Whales
16
Last 7 days
Net flow
$8.6k
Buy
$17.4k
Sell
$8.8k
Whales
56
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd5cc…dea4 | $5.3k | $3.3k | $2.0k | $-1.4k |
| 0xbc48…47bb | $4.5k | $1.6k | $2.9k | $1.3k |
| 0xe102…71df | $2.8k | $2.1k | $757 | $-1.3k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $2.6k | $2.6k | $0 | $-2.6k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x122c…fbed | 1,268 | $116.8k | $344 | 5 |
| 0xbb98…6d3c | 223 | $101.0k | $-16.8k | 3 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | 324 | $82.8k | $-21.2k | 6 |
| 0xe234…304a | 268 | $78.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 13 total · Event board
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
open · $43.0k
69.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?
open · $3.9k
67.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?
open · $2.9k
52.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?
open · $162.5k
49.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?
open · $14.5k
47.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?
open · $3.0k
37.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
open · $178.2k
32.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?
open · $27.5k
25.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
open · $2.74M
13.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
open · $1.87M
4.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
closed · $1.72M
0.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
closed · $586.2k
0.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
closed · $817.2k
0.0%
| 0x58e1…f652 | $2.0k | $600 | $1.4k | $837 |
| 0xad82…1075 | $1.6k | $450 | $1.1k | $695 |
| 0x0456…c88a | $1.6k | $1.5k | $58 | $-1.5k |
| 0x1dd1…a156 | $1.5k | $1.5k | $0 | $-1.5k |
| 0x6a67…df6f | $1.4k | $1.4k | $0 | $-1.4k |
| 0x03f7…c0cc | $1.3k | $843 | $469 | $-374 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $849 | $664 | $185 | $-480 |
| 0x1583…bdde | $843 | $443 | $401 | $-42 |
| $-10.6k |
| 5 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 755 | $76.8k | $-74.5k | 11 |
| 0x32b4…7f09 | 199 | $74.8k | $-16.1k | 2 |
| 0x35bb…009b | 148 | $70.6k | $-5.9k | 2 |
| 0xd426…334a | 432 | $63.4k | $-26.8k | 6 |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0 | 381 | $61.5k | $-26.5k | 3 |
| 0xf244…9b9e | 66 | $61.2k | $-20.4k | 2 |
