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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Active 267 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?

0x1e4ad3d340dbb9149ec6d2873bf6f519bddc1eb0f89665605fd90d226dd06b78

As of Oct 8, 2026, “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?” trades at 50% YES on Polymarket with $162.5k total volume.

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 49.5% · CLOB volume $162.5k · whales 24h net $20 (2 wallets) · 7d net $1.6k · 10/13 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

49.5%

Yes

Implied No

50.5%

Volume

$162.5k

CLOB

Traders

165

734 trades

Yes 49.5%No 50.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$20

Buy

$40

Sell

$20

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$1.6k

Buy

$2.7k

Sell

$1.1k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($20)
•7d whale net still positive ($1.6k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 49.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-10-07 03:08:47

200.0¢$20

NOBUY2026-10-07 03:08:47

200.0¢$20

—BUY2026-10-06 22:26:45

52.0¢$3

—BUY2026-10-06 22:26:45

48.0¢$3

—BUY2026-10-06 21:50:03

52.0¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x1b7e…cee2	$21.1k	$12.5k	$8.6k	$-3.9k
0x9939…c201	$18.9k	$11.0k	$7.9k	$-3.1k
0xfb7a…3271	$17.2k	$12.5k	$4.7k	$-7.7k
0x615b…4967	$16.4k	$10.0k	$6.4k	$-3.6k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x122c…fbed	1,268	$116.8k	$344	5
0xbb98…6d3c	223	$101.0k	$-16.8k	3
0x7c3d…5c6b	324	$82.8k	$-21.2k	6
0xe234…304a	268	$78.3k

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