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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Active 237 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?

0x6160c02bc34107f6f84ad8a9f1efd42c02e607fbcc154b720949231c5558acc2

As of Oct 8, 2026, “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?” trades at 48% YES on Polymarket with $14.5k total volume.

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 47.5% · CLOB volume $14.5k · whales 24h net $19 (3 wallets) · 7d net $4.5k · 10/13 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

47.5%

Yes

Implied No

52.5%

Volume

$14.5k

CLOB

Traders

194 trades

Yes 47.5%No 52.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$19

Buy

$35

Sell

$16

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$4.5k

Buy

$8.5k

Sell

$3.9k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($19)
•7d whale net still positive ($4.5k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 47.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($14.5k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-10-07 03:08:36

195.0¢$19

NOBUY2026-10-07 03:08:36

204.1¢$14

—BUY2026-10-07 03:08:36

52.0¢$3

—BUY2026-10-06 19:48:12

54.0¢$30

—BUY2026-10-06 19:48:12

46.0¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xd056…f1be	$7.1k	$4.1k	$3.0k	$-1.1k
0x36da…907b	$2.3k	$1.0k	$1.2k	$154
0x5da1…54a3	$2.0k	$1.5k	$541	$-957
0x3c67…e1a8	$1.5k	$1.5k	$0	$-1.5k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x122c…fbed	1,268	$116.8k	$344	5
0xbb98…6d3c	223	$101.0k	$-16.8k	3
0x7c3d…5c6b	324	$82.8k	$-21.2k	6
0xe234…304a	268	$78.3k

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