0x3a539f4052dc3340948b9f56119fbee92919f7bf9bb3cc73fd7feeb310d030d4
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?” trades at 8% YES on Polymarket with $34.0k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 8.3% · CLOB volume $34.0k · whales 24h net $4.1k (33 wallets) · 7d net $6.6k · 8/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
8.3%
Yes
Implied No
91.7%
No
Volume
$34.0k
CLOB
Traders
214
1,659 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
7.5% → 7.9% (+0.4pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$4.1k
Buy
$6.1k
Sell
$2.0k
Whales
33
Last 7 days
Net flow
$6.6k
Buy
$11.0k
Sell
$4.4k
Whales
64
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2344…6458 | $4.9k | $793 | $4.1k | $3.3k |
| 0x122c…fbed | $4.4k | $3.0k | $1.4k | $-1.6k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $4.3k | $4.3k | $0 | $-4.3k |
| 0xb5c7…f2c1 | $3.5k | $1.1k | $2.4k | $1.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 702 | $32.5k | $-32.5k | 10 |
| 0x88c4…129a | 214 | $16.1k | $-641 | 4 |
| 0x2344…6458 | 354 | $14.0k | $2.0k | 3 |
| 0xa066…710b | 324 | $10.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
8 open · 11 total · Event board
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
open · $56.7k
52.5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
open · $39.8k
29.2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
open · $53.0k
12.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
open · $34.0k
8.3%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?
open · $22.7k
1.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?
open · $50.4k
0.8%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?
open · $29.6k
0.8%
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $220.8k
0.1%
Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $12.0k
0.1%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.7k
0.1%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.1k
0.1%
| 0xfd59…0231 | $2.7k | $2.3k | $438 | $-1.8k |
| 0x1a86…4683 | $2.5k | $670 | $1.8k | $1.2k |
| 0x510f…a43c | $1.2k | $1.2k | $2 | $-1.2k |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | $1.2k | $1.1k | $75 | $-1.0k |
| 0x6268…6031 | $1.1k | $1.1k | $0 | $-1.1k |
| 0x4ac5…d24c | $1.1k | $100 | $988 | $888 |
| 0xb1fe…423a | $1.0k | $591 | $413 | $-178 |
| 0x3844…7285 | $926 | $456 | $470 | $14 |
| $3.1k |
| 6 |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | 257 | $9.5k | $-7.5k | 11 |
| 0x1a86…4683 | 116 | $8.6k | $7.0k | 2 |
| 0x0a9c…d552 | 167 | $8.0k | $308 | 3 |
| 0xfd59…0231 | 299 | $7.9k | $-3.2k | 3 |
| 0xeb49…693e | 150 | $7.8k | $2.1k | 3 |
| 0x460a…d738 | 524 | $7.6k | $-2.9k | 3 |
