0x25966b196ffc1682fc77df0298784831a60aea8abe03b9aa4fc219d1422feb9f
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?” trades at 29% YES on Polymarket with $39.8k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 28.8% · CLOB volume $39.8k · whales 24h net $2.3k (33 wallets) · 7d net $5.1k · 8/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
28.8%
Yes
Implied No
71.2%
No
Volume
$39.8k
CLOB
Traders
305
1,929 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
29.2% → 28.0% (-1.2pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2.3k
Buy
$5.2k
Sell
$2.9k
Whales
33
Last 7 days
Net flow
$5.1k
Buy
$10.8k
Sell
$5.7k
Whales
66
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $5.0k | $5.0k | $0 | $-5.0k |
| 0xeb49…693e | $3.9k | $626 | $3.3k | $2.6k |
| 0xfd59…0231 | $3.7k | $2.2k | $1.5k | $-752 |
| 0x138b…0467 | $3.4k | $2.1k | $1.3k | $-854 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 701 | $32.5k | $-32.5k | 10 |
| 0x88c4…129a | 214 | $16.1k | $-641 | 4 |
| 0x2344…6458 | 354 | $14.0k | $2.0k | 3 |
| 0xa066…710b | 324 | $10.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
8 open · 11 total · Event board
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
open · $56.7k
53.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
open · $39.8k
28.8%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
open · $53.0k
12.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
open · $34.0k
8.3%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?
open · $22.7k
1.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?
open · $50.4k
0.8%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?
open · $29.6k
0.8%
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $220.8k
0.1%
Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $12.0k
0.1%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.7k
0.1%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.1k
0.1%
| 0x88c4…129a | $2.5k | $862 | $1.6k | $749 |
| 0xe172…e8e0 | $2.1k | $646 | $1.5k | $852 |
| 0x1229…df38 | $2.1k | $1.7k | $399 | $-1.3k |
| 0x2974…9c23 | $1.4k | $303 | $1.1k | $782 |
| 0x856b…f305 | $1.4k | $942 | $436 | $-506 |
| 0x0a6d…1d0a | $1.4k | $1.3k | $46 | $-1.3k |
| 0x30fc…510d | $1.3k | $1.3k | $0 | $-1.3k |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $1.3k | $1.3k | $11 | $-1.2k |
| $3.1k |
| 6 |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | 257 | $9.5k | $-7.5k | 11 |
| 0x1a86…4683 | 116 | $8.6k | $7.0k | 2 |
| 0x0a9c…d552 | 167 | $8.0k | $308 | 3 |
| 0xfd59…0231 | 299 | $7.9k | $-3.2k | 3 |
| 0xeb49…693e | 150 | $7.8k | $2.1k | 3 |
| 0x460a…d738 | 524 | $7.6k | $-2.9k | 3 |
