0xd99603add7350a5ff33c8dc609ab0eaae2d5d18162bb00eeb63c38c81ae038f8
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $50.4k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.8% · CLOB volume $50.4k · whales 24h net $821 (21 wallets) · 7d net $2.9k · 8/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.8%
Yes
Implied No
99.2%
No
Volume
$50.4k
CLOB
Traders
321
2,391 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
4.2% → 0.5% (-3.7pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$821
Buy
$1.5k
Sell
$675
Whales
21
Last 7 days
Net flow
$2.9k
Buy
$5.7k
Sell
$2.8k
Whales
60
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $3.9k | $3.9k | $0 | $-3.9k |
| 0x72f7…92f7 | $3.3k | $2.0k | $1.4k | $-619 |
| 0x0a9c…d552 | $3.2k | $1.6k | $1.6k | $7 |
| 0x460a…d738 | $2.3k | $1.5k | $835 | $-641 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 701 | $32.5k | $-32.5k | 10 |
| 0x88c4…129a | 214 | $16.1k | $-641 | 4 |
| 0x2344…6458 | 354 | $14.0k | $2.0k | 3 |
| 0xa066…710b | 324 | $10.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
8 open · 11 total · Event board
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
open · $56.7k
53.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
open · $39.8k
28.8%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
open · $53.0k
12.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
open · $34.0k
8.3%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?
open · $22.7k
1.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?
open · $50.4k
0.8%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?
open · $29.6k
0.8%
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $220.8k
0.1%
Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $12.0k
0.1%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.7k
0.1%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.1k
0.1%
| 0xa066…710b | $2.2k | $940 | $1.3k | $319 |
| 0xb1ca…1705 | $1.8k | $1.1k | $737 | $-316 |
| 0xf630…d39f | $1.7k | $920 | $751 | $-169 |
| 0x4b28…15df | $1.6k | $792 | $789 | $-3 |
| 0xc972…dcd9 | $1.5k | $58 | $1.4k | $1.3k |
| 0xc78e…4718 | $1.3k | $841 | $457 | $-384 |
| 0x78b8…769d | $1.3k | $103 | $1.2k | $1.1k |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | $847 | $817 | $30 | $-786 |
| $3.1k |
| 6 |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | 257 | $9.5k | $-7.5k | 11 |
| 0x1a86…4683 | 116 | $8.6k | $7.0k | 2 |
| 0x0a9c…d552 | 167 | $8.0k | $308 | 3 |
| 0xfd59…0231 | 299 | $7.9k | $-3.2k | 3 |
| 0xeb49…693e | 150 | $7.8k | $2.1k | 3 |
| 0x460a…d738 | 524 | $7.6k | $-2.9k | 3 |
