0x277dfee905afb258ea2a73842a7ea9a8cba4e3d52597d33f69bc7d159c52f3da
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $29.6k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.8% · CLOB volume $29.6k · whales 24h net $662 (18 wallets) · 7d net $1.6k · 8/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.8%
Yes
Implied No
99.2%
No
Volume
$29.6k
CLOB
Traders
198
1,378 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
2.2% → 0.2% (-2.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$662
Buy
$844
Sell
$182
Whales
18
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.6k
Buy
$2.3k
Sell
$703
Whales
36
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2344…6458 | $8.7k | $5.0k | $3.7k | $-1.3k |
| 0x1a86…4683 | $6.1k | $153 | $6.0k | $5.8k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $4.7k | $4.7k | $0 | $-4.7k |
| 0x1229…df38 | $2.0k | $1.7k | $223 | $-1.5k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 702 | $32.5k | $-32.5k | 10 |
| 0x88c4…129a | 214 | $16.1k | $-641 | 4 |
| 0x2344…6458 | 354 | $14.0k | $2.0k | 3 |
| 0xa066…710b | 324 | $10.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
8 open · 11 total · Event board
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
open · $56.7k
52.5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
open · $39.8k
29.2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
open · $53.0k
12.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
open · $34.0k
8.3%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?
open · $22.7k
1.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?
open · $50.4k
0.8%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?
open · $29.6k
0.8%
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $220.8k
0.1%
Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $12.0k
0.1%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.7k
0.1%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $10.1k
0.1%
| 0xfd59…0231 | $1.4k | $1.0k | $418 | $-613 |
| 0x856b…f305 | $900 | $590 | $309 | $-281 |
| 0x6268…6031 | $893 | $893 | $0 | $-893 |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | $831 | $826 | $5 | $-821 |
| 0x1d8c…757a | $750 | $649 | $101 | $-549 |
| 0x4d86…1cb2 | $734 | $734 | $0 | $-734 |
| 0x122c…fbed | $724 | $458 | $266 | $-192 |
| 0x72f7…92f7 | $676 | $369 | $307 | $-62 |
| $3.1k |
| 6 |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | 257 | $9.5k | $-7.5k | 11 |
| 0x1a86…4683 | 116 | $8.6k | $7.0k | 2 |
| 0x0a9c…d552 | 167 | $8.0k | $308 | 3 |
| 0xfd59…0231 | 299 | $7.9k | $-3.2k | 3 |
| 0xeb49…693e | 150 | $7.8k | $2.1k | 3 |
| 0x460a…d738 | 524 | $7.6k | $-2.9k | 3 |
