Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0xae70ab9bf1c3726fe430a2ba8b517697ae24e0f0ab554b876a5b521153068882

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $44.22M · whales 24h net $192.5k (15 wallets) · 7d net $799.0k · 37/37 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

99.8%

Volume

$44.22M

CLOB

Traders

8,194

90,823 trades

Yes 0.1%No 99.8%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$192.5k

Buy

$192.9k

Sell

$439

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$799.0k

Buy

$842.5k

Sell

$43.5k

Whales

373

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($192.5k)
•7d whale net still positive ($799.0k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-21 05:18:15

100.2¢$614

NOBUY2026-07-21 05:18:15

50000.0¢$614

NOBUY2026-07-21 05:17:51

100.2¢$616

NOBUY2026-07-21 05:17:51

50000.0¢$616

NOBUY2026-07-21 04:48:13

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xfedc…6398	31,682	$3.46M	$-3.44M	12
0xc21e…0215	27,114	$3.30M	$-3.29M	21
0x2663…ed1f	14,225	$2.25M	$-2.25M	33
0xb4f2…7862	3,082	$2.20M

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