0xb007530f03c04a08fc761b15ef4dc5c1435fd39ccac79191f39569aaaf0b459f
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $495.0k total volume.
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 0.5% · CLOB volume $495.0k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $51.9k · 29/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.5%
Yes
Implied No
99.5%
No
Volume
$495.0k
CLOB
Traders
57
272 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$51.9k
Buy
$201.9k
Sell
$150.0k
Whales
24
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x011f…1122 | $238.9k | $946 | $238.0k | $237.0k |
| 0x2663…ed1f | $131.2k | $131.2k | $0 | $-131.2k |
| 0x16cb…2704 | $118.0k | $118.0k | $30 | $-118.0k |
| 0x5a0d…fa97 | $100.4k | $400 | $100.0k | $99.6k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfedc…6398 | 5,967 | $4.20M | $-4.19M | 14 |
| 0xc21e…0215 | 8,115 | $2.37M | $-2.37M | 19 |
| 0x011f…1122 | 2,207 | $1.25M | $-380.7k | 32 |
| 0x2663…ed1f | 1,718 | $1.24M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
29 open · 50 total · Event board
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $16.83M
20.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.86M
13.2%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $5.89M
10.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $18.55M
8.1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.82M
6.9%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $9.21M
4.5%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.59M
3.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.45M
2.8%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.70M
2.4%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $14.29M
1.8%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.45M
1.8%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $7.96M
1.7%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $19.39M
1.7%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $754.6k
1.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.68M
1.3%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $8.46M
0.9%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $12.73M
0.9%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $10.94M
0.9%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.10M
0.5%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open · $13.93M
0.4%
| 0xfd69…a2e1 | $45.5k | $45.5k | $0 | $-45.5k |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | $40.3k | $40.3k | $0 | $-40.3k |
| 0xb687…aee5 | $36.0k | $36.0k | $0 | $-36.0k |
| 0x5c7a…1a97 | $34.2k | $22.8k | $11.5k | $-11.3k |
| 0x0c26…d223 | $30.7k | $30.7k | $0 | $-30.7k |
| 0xc42f…78a0 | $26.2k | $130 | $26.0k | $25.9k |
| 0x3e5b…073b | $25.1k | $25.0k | $125 | $-24.9k |
| 0x809c…8cfd | $25.1k | $100 | $25.0k | $24.9k |
| $-1.24M |
| 17 |
| 0x0c26…d223 | 2,864 | $1.04M | $-1.04M | 33 |
| 0xa3a4…5106 | 6,006 | $989.7k | $-976.6k | 46 |
| 0x52c2…0556 | 467 | $621.6k | $-621.6k | 5 |
| 0xe9cf…dbad | 14 | $581.5k | $579.2k | 1 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | 288 | $537.7k | $144.2k | 7 |
| 0xc2de…6781 | 330 | $527.0k | $-4.8k | 2 |
