0xa69ef420d8b4075ad8ba8611d02c63cb2ece46f5c8c643af223c272689b0c96f
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $1.33M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.4% · CLOB volume $1.33M · whales 24h net $38.1k (38 wallets) · 7d net $680.8k · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.4%
Yes
Implied No
99.7%
No
Volume
$1.33M
CLOB
Traders
441
5,733 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.3% → 0.3% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$38.1k
Buy
$108.2k
Sell
$70.0k
Whales
38
Last 7 days
Net flow
$680.8k
Buy
$953.5k
Sell
$272.7k
Whales
144
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x58b3…653c | $218.3k | $217.3k | $972 | $-216.3k |
| 0x3f02…a51c | $134.8k | $134.0k | $733 | $-133.3k |
| 0x524d…4495 | $97.9k | $390 | $97.5k | $97.1k |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | $88.8k | $88.6k | $266 | $-88.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x58b3…653c | 547 | $1.02M | $-717.1k | 5 |
| 0xc658…b784 | 805 | $588.1k | $92.1k | 2 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 550 | $411.0k | $-111.4k | 3 |
| 0xb4f2…7862 | 411 | $357.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $2.20M
49.5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $2.34M
48.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $1.32M
0.9%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $1.79M
0.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
open · $1.33M
0.4%
| 0xb4f2…7862 | $87.5k | $86.3k | $1.3k | $-85.0k |
| 0x0bb8…253e | $60.5k | $1.0k | $59.5k | $58.5k |
| 0xaf15…5dd2 | $58.3k | $58.2k | $160 | $-58.0k |
| 0x2376…e94f | $54.8k | $254 | $54.5k | $54.3k |
| 0x0380…073d | $51.5k | $50.8k | $642 | $-50.2k |
| 0xa1d6…e727 | $50.1k | $50.1k | $0 | $-50.1k |
| 0x92ae…0376 | $42.1k | $387 | $41.8k | $41.4k |
| 0xb5d1…6e35 | $40.1k | $20.1k | $20.0k | $-50 |
| $-351.1k |
| 3 |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | 156 | $349.2k | $-271.7k | 4 |
| 0x3f02…a51c | 848 | $340.0k | $-96.6k | 5 |
| 0x7b02…4991 | 552 | $333.3k | $46.1k | 3 |
| 0xe907…cff6 | 723 | $292.8k | $-19.8k | 5 |
| 0xaf15…5dd2 | 474 | $274.3k | $-199.2k | 5 |
| 0x7cf9…2798 | 553 | $253.4k | $-43.6k | 4 |
