US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

0xa1b3158fedfddaf2a0d8b364f6a57ee68146fb6ad458222aa8e02bcf0abbb099

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 7.5% · CLOB volume $2.82M · whales 24h net $14.5k (16 wallets) · 7d net $78.2k · 6/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

7.5%

Yes

Implied No

92.5%

Volume

$2.82M

CLOB

Traders

658

2,919 trades

Yes 7.5%No 92.5%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$14.5k

Buy

$15.9k

Sell

$1.4k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$78.2k

Buy

$102.2k

Sell

$24.0k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($14.5k)
•7d whale net still positive ($78.2k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 7.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-21 18:33:54

1428.6¢$40

YESBUY2026-07-21 18:33:54

7.0¢$3

YESBUY2026-07-21 18:32:36

8.0¢$80

NOBUY2026-07-21 18:32:36

92.0¢$920

NOBUY2026-07-21 18:07:43

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xbaa2…2c73	722	$675.4k	$-459.5k	4
0x0c0e…434e	276	$613.8k	$-221.1k	4
0xc8ab…6418	633	$613.6k	$-534.3k	6
0xdbf1…86b5	577	$542.1k

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows, Smart Score and live screens — free to explore. Alpha API for automation.

Explore traders View plans