US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

0x61dcae8107169382527c8dac1fcd0e214b4b4267b65d0e6fd4872736d373f360

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 1.0% · CLOB volume $1.17M · whales 24h net $16.2k (21 wallets) · 7d net $109.1k · 6/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

1.0%

Yes

Implied No

99.0%

Volume

$1.17M

CLOB

Traders

539

1,880 trades

Yes 1.0%No 99.0%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$16.2k

Buy

$16.5k

Sell

$322

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$109.1k

Buy

$170.8k

Sell

$61.7k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($16.2k)
•7d whale net still positive ($109.1k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 1.0% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-20 14:01:42

14285.7¢$50

NOBUY2026-07-20 14:01:42

100.7¢$50

—BUY2026-07-20 13:53:36

1.1¢$23

NOBUY2026-07-20 13:53:36

8333.3¢$814

NOBUY2026-07-20 13:53:36

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xbaa2…2c73	713	$664.1k	$-448.3k	4
0x0c0e…434e	276	$613.8k	$-221.1k	4
0xc8ab…6418	633	$613.6k	$-534.3k	6
0xdbf1…86b5	577	$542.1k

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