Multi-outcome · 4 open · 4 closed hidden
2nd Largest Company end of August?
Volume $97.5kTraders 398Trades 2,283
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
open · $47.9k
47.5%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
open · $49.2k
39.5%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
open · $32.8k
10.5%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0xf0ca…66ed2 mkts · $10.5k
- 0x511f…cbe17 mkts · $9.3k
- 0xe917…96122 mkts · $8.3k
- 0xe907…cff66 mkts · $6.3k
- 0xd218…b5c93 mkts · $5.0k
- 0x0380…073d4 mkts · $4.4k
- 0x779d…169f2 mkts · $4.4k
- 0xbe4e…d0c61 mkts · $3.5k
- 0x35a0…2bab1 mkts · $3.4k
- 0xe904…2d9f2 mkts · $3.4k
- 0xd1ee…a8ae2 mkts · $3.0k
- 0xaee8…11544 mkts · $2.9k
- 0x21ff…0d713 mkts · $2.5k
- 0x1f85…a51b1 mkts · $2.4k
- 0x79dc…ca772 mkts · $2.2k